Redfin Migration Report: Home Affordability Continued to Shape Migration Currents as Homebuyers Looked to Leave Expensive Coastal Cities in the Second Quarter
The Bay Area, New York and Los Angeles ranked highest for net outflow of home searchers
SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — Twenty-one percent of Redfin.com users in the second quarter of 2017 searched mostly for homes outside the metro where they reside, slightly up from 20 percent in the first quarter, according to the latest migration report from Redfin (www.redfin.com), the next-generation real estate brokerage.
The Redfin Migration Report analyzed a sample of more than one million Redfin.com users searching for homes across 75 metro areas during the peak of the homebuying season from April through June. Redfin used IP addresses to identify the metros where home searchers likely reside and compared that to where users were searching for homes.
While 79 percent of Redfin.com home searchers looked to stay in their current metro, several key trends emerged among those looking to move to another metro:
- There continued to be significant migration within the state of California, with the most common search patterns being buyers looked to leave the Bay Area and Los Angeles, heading to Sacramento and San Diego.
- Several Rust Belt metros saw more than a quarter of local homebuyers looking at homes outside their metro with Chicago being the top destination.
- Metros in the South and the Sunbelt remained popular destinations for migrants from expensive coastal cities.
- Chicago, Boston and Seattle again had the highest share of residents looking to stay in their current metros.
“Home searches are early indicators of home sales. The migration patterns in our report closely correlate to actual purchases made by Redfin home-buying customers within and across metros,” said Taylor Marr, a Redfin data scientist who conducted the underlying research.
“Buyers who can’t afford a home in their current city are exploring what is available elsewhere,” said Marr. “We are already seeing strong buyer demand and competition in mid-tier cities like Sacramento, Phoenix and Atlanta. As home searches evolve into purchase offers and home sales, we anticipate prices and competition will continue to grow in those markets.”
Top 10 Metros by Net Outflow of Users and Their Top Destinations | |||||||||||||||
Rank | Metro* | Net Outflow† |
Portion of Local |
Top Destination |
Top Out-of-State |
||||||||||
1 | San Francisco, CA | -16,913 | 18.80% | Sacramento, CA | Seattle, WA | ||||||||||
2 | New York, NY | -15,790 | 34.60% | Boston, MA | Boston, MA | ||||||||||
3 | Los Angeles, CA | -13,177 | 14.70% | San Diego, CA | Las Vegas, NV | ||||||||||
4 | Washington, DC | -5,571 | 10.50% | Philadelphia, PA | Philadelphia, PA | ||||||||||
5 | Chicago, IL | -2,631 | 7.90% | Los Angeles, CA | Los Angeles, CA | ||||||||||
6 | Denver, CO | -368 | 17.90% | Chicago, IL | Chicago, IL | ||||||||||
7 | Houston, TX | -354 | 24.20% | Austin, TX | Los Angeles, CA | ||||||||||
8 | Detroit, MI | -338 | 25.30% | Chicago, IL | Chicago, IL | ||||||||||
9 | Milwaukee, WI | -246 | 36.80% | Chicago, IL | Chicago, IL | ||||||||||
10 | Dayton, OH | -34 | 37.30% | Cincinnati, OH | Chicago, IL | ||||||||||
*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in Q2 2017 | |||||||||||||||
†Among the one million users sampled for this analysis only | |||||||||||||||
Top 10 Metros by Net Inflow of Users and Their Top Origins | |||||||||||||||
Rank | Metro* | Net Inflow† |
Portion of |
Top Origin |
Top Out-of-State |
||||||||||
1 | San Diego, CA | 5,233 | 29.40% | Los Angeles, CA | Seattle, WA | ||||||||||
2 | Sacramento, CA | 4,831 | 35.30% | San Francisco, CA | Seattle, WA | ||||||||||
3 | Phoenix, AZ | 3,975 | 31.40% | Los Angeles, CA | Los Angeles, CA | ||||||||||
4 | Las Vegas, NV | 3,660 | 42.00% | Los Angeles, CA | Los Angeles, CA | ||||||||||
5 | Atlanta, GA | 2,914 | 24.30% | New York, NY | New York, NY | ||||||||||
6 | Dallas, TX | 2,112 | 21.10% | Los Angeles, CA | Los Angeles, CA | ||||||||||
7 | Tampa, FL | 1,899 | 45.90% | Washington, DC | Washington, DC | ||||||||||
8 | Miami, FL | 1,861 | 22.00% | New York, NY | New York, NY | ||||||||||
9 | Boston, MA | 1,707 | 12.30% | New York, NY | New York, NY | ||||||||||
10 | Austin, TX | 1,601 | 23.20% | San Francisco, CA | San Francisco, CA | ||||||||||
*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in Q2 2017 | |||||||||||||||
†Among the one million users sampled for this analysis only | |||||||||||||||
To read the full report, complete with an interactive data map of metro-to-metro migration trends and full methodology, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/blog/2017/08/migration-report-q2-2017.html.
About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $50 billion in home sales.
For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, subscribe here. To view Redfin's press center, click here.
View source version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170810005606/en/
Redfin Journalist Services:
Alina Ptaszynski, 206-588-6863
press@redfin.com
Source: Redfin
Released August 10, 2017